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2011-02-11

Model Predictions

Model Brown Bears Dartmouth Big Green Spread Result
Elo 48.0% 52.0% -
Bradley-Terry 53.4% 46.6% -
Margin 50.1% 49.9% -0.0 (9.0 off)
Pythagorean 72.6% 27.4% -
Efficiency 91.9% 8.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 85.9% 14.1% -
Log Adjusted 85.7% 14.3% -

Actual: Dartmouth Big Green -9 (66-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Brown Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Biber 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
G. Leffelman * 40 4-10 1-5 2-3 6 1 1 2 2 11 9 -
T. Halpern * 38 11-20 2-7 1-2 7 2 1 0 1 25 14 -
S. McGonagill * 25 4-10 0-3 7-7 9 2 1 0 3 15 14 -
M. Sullivan * 22 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -2 -
D. Walker * 21 2-7 0-0 2-2 9 0 0 1 0 6 9 -
A. Williams 33 4-9 3-7 4-5 4 1 1 0 2 15 10 -
A. McCarthy 11 0-1 0-0 3-4 3 0 1 1 1 3 6 -
C. Taylor 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
T. Ponticelli 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

Dartmouth Big Green

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Herring 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Rufful * 33 5-12 0-3 0-0 12 1 0 0 1 10 10 -
J. Trotter * 31 2-8 1-6 2-2 3 2 0 0 1 7 3 -
R.J. Griffin * 25 3-9 0-3 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 7 0 -
K. Crecco * 13 2-4 0-1 1-1 2 0 0 0 1 5 2 -
C. Weeden * 11 0-2 0-0 2-4 5 2 0 2 0 2 9 -
N. Jackson 22 7-13 3-6 0-0 2 0 2 0 0 17 8 -
T. Melville 21 2-5 0-1 3-5 1 0 1 0 3 7 1 -
M. LaBove 21 0-3 0-0 3-4 3 1 0 0 1 3 3 -
G. Bertasius 15 4-6 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 8 5 -
M. Ghogomu 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter