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2011-04-08

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Philadelphia 76ers Spread Result
Elo 20.4% 79.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 21.4% 78.6% - โœ“
Margin 13.1% 86.9% +10.4 โœ“ (5.4 off)
Pythagorean 35.4% 64.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 22.9% 77.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 22.9% 77.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 28.4% 71.6% - โœ“

Actual: Philadelphia 76ers +5 (98-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeMar DeRozan * 42 8-19 0-3 11-12 2 3 3 1 2 27 15 -
Jerryd Bayless * 41 9-17 3-6 3-4 4 8 2 0 4 24 17 -
Ed Davis * 38 5-11 0-0 4-4 10 1 1 0 2 14 13 -
Reggie Evans * 34 4-8 0-0 0-0 15 2 0 0 2 8 15 -
Julian Wright * 25 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 4 1 1 2 2 7 -
James Johnson * 24 3-8 1-2 2-2 1 4 0 1 1 9 6 -
Alexis Ajinca * 15 2-5 1-3 0-0 3 0 0 1 2 5 2 -
Sonny Weems * 8 1-2 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 0 2 2 -1 -
Joey Dorsey * 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 1 1 2 4 -

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jrue Holiday * 40 3-11 0-1 7-7 4 11 4 1 5 13 17 -
Jodie Meeks * 40 2-11 2-9 4-6 7 1 0 0 1 10 6 -
Elton Brand * 38 10-16 0-0 2-2 8 0 0 1 1 22 14 -
Thaddeus Young * 33 8-13 0-0 4-7 1 0 3 0 0 20 11 -
Andre Iguodala * 30 7-12 1-1 1-3 3 3 0 1 2 16 9 -
Evan Turner * 29 3-7 0-0 4-4 3 2 2 0 1 10 9 -
Spencer Hawes * 24 3-5 0-0 1-2 3 3 0 2 1 7 9 -
Antonio Daniels * 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter