Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 38.0% | 62.0% | +2.7 | ✓ (9.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers +12 (114-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Horford * | 30 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Joe Johnson * | 29 | 8-14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 6 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia * | 28 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Kirk Hinrich * | 26 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Jamal Crawford * | 25 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 23 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Jeff Teague * | 21 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 17 | - |
| Damien Wilkins * | 16 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Josh Powell * | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Hilton Armstrong * | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Etan Thomas * | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Pape Sy | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darren Collison * | 33 | 7-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 19 | - |
| Roy Hibbert * | 32 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Danny Granger * | 31 | 9-18 | 2-3 | 8-11 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 19 | - |
| Tyler Hansbrough * | 25 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Josh McRoberts * | 24 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Brandon Rush * | 19 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Paul George * | 19 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Mike Dunleavy * | 15 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| AJ Price * | 14 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jeff Foster * | 12 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Dahntay Jones * | 9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
* = starter