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2011-02-09

Model Predictions

Model Bradley Braves Missouri State Bears Spread Result
Elo 12.4% 87.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 11.8% 88.2% - โœ“
Margin 9.2% 90.8% +12.6 โœ“ (4.6 off)
Pythagorean 27.5% 72.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 6.8% 93.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 6.7% 93.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 24.8% 75.2% - โœ“

Actual: Missouri State Bears +8 (77-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Bradley Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dyricus Simms-Edwards * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 5 3 1 3 6 18 -
Andrew Warren * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 2 1 2 12 19 -
Dodie Dunson * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 2 0 2 20 27 -
Jordan Prosser * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 1 12 17 -
Will Egolf * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 8 11 -
Walt Lemon 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 2 0 1 6 10 -
Jake Eastman 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 -
Anthony Thompson 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 3 -

Missouri State Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Adam Leonard * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 4 0 0 1 3 6 -
Jermaine Mallett * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 4 2 0 4 16 25 -
Will Creekmore * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 2 1 1 1 11 21 -
Kyle Weems * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 2 3 27 33 -
Nafis Ricks * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 4 0 2 2 7 16 -
Nathan Scheer 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 9 9 -
Caleb Patterson 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
Isaiah Rhine 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
Nick Valla 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter