๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2011-02-09

Model Predictions

Model Tulane Green Wave SMU Mustangs Spread Result
Elo 18.3% 81.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 35.4% 64.6% - โœ“
Margin 38.1% 61.9% +2.7 โœ“ (2.3 off)
Pythagorean 45.9% 54.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 39.8% 60.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 40.2% 59.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 44.5% 55.5% - โœ“

Actual: SMU Mustangs +5 (66-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Tulane Green Wave

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Richard * 40 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 2 0 1 13 20 -
J. Callahan * 40 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 0 4 16 17 -
K. Timmons * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 5 0 0 2 10 21 -
J. Mayhane * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 2 0 1 16 18 -
D. Booker * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 2 4 7 -
K. Thomas 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
G. Hogan 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
T. Rogers 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

SMU Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mike Walker * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 2 7 11 -
Papa Dia * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 11 2 1 3 5 24 36 -
Collin Mangrum * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 3 0 0 5 12 -
Jeremiah Samarrippas * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 12 16 -
Robert Nyakundi * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 3 0 1 3 13 19 -
Ryan Harp 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
Justin Haynes 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -1 -
Aliaksei Patsevich 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 3 2 -
Rodney Clinkscales 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter