Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana State Sycamores | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.4% | 60.6% | +2.4 | ✗ (12.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 73.7% | 26.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 71.2% | 28.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 90.7% | 9.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 90.7% | 9.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds -10 (46-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana State Sycamores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Odum * | 32 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Carl Richard * | 29 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Aaron Carter * | 27 | 3-12 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Myles Walker * | 23 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Dwayne Lathan * | 20 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Steve McWhorter | 27 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Jordan Printy | 14 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| R.J. Mahurin | 12 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Koang Doluony | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Isiah Martin | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jon Ekey * | 28 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Anthony Cousin * | 25 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -5 | - |
| John Wilkins * | 19 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Austin Hill * | 19 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Blake Mishler * | 14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Tony Lewis | 24 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Jackie Carmichael | 23 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Trey Blue | 20 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 4-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Alex Rubin | 17 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Justin Clark | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter