๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2011-02-09

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Tigers UCF Knights Spread Result
Elo 34.3% 65.7% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 51.2% 48.8% - โœ“
Margin 54.8% 45.2% -1.1 โœ“ (0.1 off)
Pythagorean 44.3% 55.7% - โœ—
Efficiency 67.8% 32.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 60.5% 39.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 58.7% 41.3% - โœ“

Actual: UCF Knights -1 (62-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Will Barton * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 5 0 1 4 15 24 -
Charles Carmouche * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 4 1 1 1 8 19 -
Tarik Black * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 5 2 11 17 -
Joe Jackson * 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 2 0 0 -
Drew Barham * 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Antonio Barton 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 0 2 14 18 -
Will Coleman 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 0 1 10 16 -
Chris Crawford 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 1 2 1 5 13 -
D.J. Stephens 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 2 0 0 0 3 -

UCF Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marcus Jordan * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 5 0 0 4 12 16 -
Keith Clanton * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 1 1 9 17 -
Isaac Sosa * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 14 16 -
P.J. Gaynor * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 5 1 1 0 7 16 -
Tom Herzog * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 7 9 -
A.J. Tyler 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 0 1 9 14 -
A.J. Rompza 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 2 4 7 -
Isaiah Sykes 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 1 0 0 6 -

* = starter