Model Predictions
| Model | Texas State Bobcats | Central Arkansas Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.8% | 37.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 74.5% | 25.5% | -5.9 | ✓ (18.1 off) |
| Efficiency | 25.1% | 74.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Central Arkansas Bears -24 (61-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Bishop | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 30 | - |
| Ryan White | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 20 | - |
| Brooks Ybarra | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 17 | - |
| Eddie Rios | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 24 | - |
| Travis Jones | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - |
| John Bowman | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Matt Staff | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Cameron Johnson | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 14 | - |
| J.B. Conley | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Uriel Segura | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Reid Koenen | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
Central Arkansas Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Rutledge | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Dewan Clayborn | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 19 | - |
| I. Qahwash | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 26 | - |
| Tadre Sheppard | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 18 | - |
| Ryan Williams | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Chris Henson | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Terry Tidwell | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Jacquan McClinton | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Mike Pouncy | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Carlos Dos Santos | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| T.K. Smith | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter