Model Predictions
| Model | BYU Cougars | Air Force Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 98.6% | 1.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 86.6% | 13.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 90.1% | 9.9% | -12.1 | ✓ (25.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 67.3% | 32.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.9% | 3.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 91.1% | 8.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 91.1% | 8.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Air Force Falcons -38 (52-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
BYU Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmer Fredette * | 35 | 8-16 | 5-8 | 4-4 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 15 | - |
| Brandon Davies * | 31 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 21 | - |
| Charles Abouo * | 29 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Jackson Emery * | 29 | 6-12 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Noah Hartsock * | 25 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Stephen Rogers | 20 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Logan Magnusson | 18 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Brock Zylstra | 8 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Nick Martineau | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Lyons * | 35 | 4-14 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | -1 | - |
| Tom Fow * | 30 | 4-11 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Todd Fletcher * | 30 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Evan Washington * | 28 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Taylor Broekhuis * | 22 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Mike Fitzgerald | 19 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Derek Brooks | 17 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Zach Bohannon | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Taylor Stewart | 6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | - |
| Shawn Hempsey | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter