Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas Razorbacks | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.3% | 50.7% | +0.2 | ✓ (10.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 11.6% | 88.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs +11 (67-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Clarke * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| D. Johnson * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 17 | - |
| J. Peterson * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| M. Britt * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 17 | - |
| M. Powell * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | - |
| M. Wade | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| J. Nobles | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| G. Bryant | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| M. Sanchez | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| M. Waithe | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Bost * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 23 | - |
| J. Steele * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| K. Augustus * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 14 | - |
| R. Sidney * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 20 | - |
| S. Smith * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| R. Benock | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | - |
| B. Bryant | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 15 | - |
| W. Lewis | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 14 | - |
* = starter