Model Predictions
| Model | Northwestern Wildcats | Michigan Wolverines | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.3% | 91.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.6% | 71.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.5% | 85.5% | +9.7 | ✓ (0.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 4.1% | 95.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan Wolverines +9 (75-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Crawford * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 28 | - |
| Michael Thompson * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 17 | - |
| JerShon Cobb * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 20 | - |
| Luka Mirkovic * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Mike Capocci * | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Alex Marcotullio | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 15 | - |
| John Shurna | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Davide Curletti | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
Michigan Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Morris * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 21 | - |
| Stu Douglass * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 15 | - |
| Zack Novak * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 14 | - |
| Jordan Morgan * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 27 | 31 | - |
| T. Hardaway Jr. * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 29 | - |
| Evan Smotrycz | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Matt Vogrich | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Jon Horford | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter