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2011-02-09

Model Predictions

Model Northwestern Wildcats Michigan Wolverines Spread Result
Elo 8.3% 91.7% -
Bradley-Terry 28.6% 71.4% -
Margin 14.5% 85.5% +9.7 (0.7 off)
Pythagorean 52.5% 47.5% -
Efficiency 4.1% 95.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 41.7% 58.3% -
Log Adjusted 41.4% 58.6% -

Actual: Michigan Wolverines +9 (75-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northwestern Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Crawford * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 1 2 1 0 16 28 -
M. Thompson * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 4 17 17 -
J. Cobb * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 0 1 14 20 -
L. Mirkovic * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 3 0 1 1 6 14 -
M. Capocci * 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
A. Marcotullio 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 6 3 0 2 6 15 -
J. Shurna 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 4 6 -
D. Curletti 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 3 4 -

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Morris * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 7 1 0 5 11 21 -
S. Douglass * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 3 1 2 3 6 15 -
Z. Novak * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 3 0 1 7 14 -
J. Morgan * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 3 2 27 31 -
T. Hardaway Jr. * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 4 0 0 2 17 29 -
E. Smotrycz 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 5 6 -
M. Vogrich 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 5 -
J. Horford 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter