Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago State Cougars | Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.9% | 95.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 6.8% | 93.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.5% | 99.5% | +29.6 | ✓ (15.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 7.0% | 93.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons +45 (95-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Chicago State Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jon Montgomery * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 20 | - |
| Antonio Lofton * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Steve Martin * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Victor Scott * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Carl Montgomery * | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Hajji Martin | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | - |
| Jamill Harris | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Archie Seals | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Quincy Ukaigwe | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Joe Hill | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Pawel Kielbasa | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Christian Wall | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Plackemeier * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 23 | - |
| John Peckinpaugh * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - |
| Ben Botts * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 25 | - |
| Frank Gaines * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 27 | - |
| Trey McCorkle * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 19 | - |
| Jason Smeathers | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | - |
| Michael Kibiloski | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Jeremy Mixon | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 24 | - |
| Oleg Kovalov | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Krste Ruiz | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Antwaun Boyd | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter