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2011-02-08

Model Predictions

Model Creighton Bluejays Drake Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 77.1% 22.9% -
Bradley-Terry 68.6% 31.4% -
Margin 68.6% 31.4% -4.3 (7.3 off)
Pythagorean 63.2% 36.8% -
Efficiency 12.9% 87.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 83.8% 16.2% -
Log Adjusted 84.0% 16.0% -

Actual: Drake Bulldogs +3 (67-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Creighton Bluejays

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Young * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 3 1 0 5 24 23 -
J. Manigat * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 2 0 2 9 15 -
D. McDermott * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 3 9 13 -
K. Korver * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 2 0 0 0 3 -
G. Echenique * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 11 16 -
K. Lawson Jr. 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 0 0 2 10 -
D. Ashford 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 0 3 10 -
W. Runnels 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 6 11 -
J. Jones 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 0 1 -

Drake Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Simons * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 3 3 0 1 18 31 -
R. Rice * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 1 16 22 -
R. Wedel * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 2 0 3 4 6 -
J. Clarke * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 3 0 2 8 13 -
S. VanDeest * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 1 12 17 -
R. Uhlenhopp 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
A. Hawley 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
K. Alexander 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 3 4 -
K. Woods 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 3 -
C. Parker 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter