Model Predictions
| Model | Florida State Seminoles | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.4% | 34.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 68.1% | 31.9% | -4.2 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 83.5% | 16.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 84.0% | 16.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers -4 (74-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Deluzio | 0 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 10 | - |
| N. Howard | 0 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | - |
| C. Hunnicutt | 0 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 12 | - |
| C. Ward | 0 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 12 | - |
| C. Bravard | 0 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 16 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Franklin | 0 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 10 | - |
| P. Kellum | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | - |
| S. Egwu | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| C. Shine | 0 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| C. Crosby | 0 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 7 | - |
* = starter