Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Wisconsin Badgers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.4% | 56.6% | +1.5 | ✓ (24.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 21.2% | 78.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.7% | 74.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Wisconsin Badgers +26 (82-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalin Lucas * | 38 | 8-14 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 9 | - |
| Draymond Green * | 33 | 4-10 | 0-4 | 5-6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Durrell Summers * | 32 | 3-12 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -3 | - |
| Keith Appling * | 19 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Derrick Nix * | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Delvon Roe | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Mike Kebler | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Austin Thornton | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Garrick Sherman | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Adreian Payne | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Wisconsin Badgers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Taylor * | 35 | 9-13 | 3-4 | 9-10 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 23 | - |
| Josh Gasser * | 33 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Jon Leuer * | 30 | 7-14 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 10 | - |
| Keaton Nankivil * | 29 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Tim Jarmusz * | 25 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 6-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Mike Bruesewitz | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Robert Wilson | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Ryan Evans | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jared Berggren | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Brett Valentyn | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Wquinton Smith | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Duje Dukan | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ben Brust | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter