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2011-02-06

Model Predictions

Model Michigan State Spartans Wisconsin Badgers Spread Result
Elo 56.9% 43.1% -
Bradley-Terry 58.0% 42.0% -
Margin 43.4% 56.6% +1.5 (24.5 off)
Pythagorean 42.9% 57.1% -
Efficiency 21.2% 78.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 25.7% 74.3% -
Log Adjusted 25.2% 74.8% -

Actual: Wisconsin Badgers +26 (82-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Lucas * 38 8-14 2-4 2-2 0 3 1 0 1 20 9 -
D. Green * 33 4-10 0-4 5-6 2 2 0 0 2 13 5 -
D. Summers * 32 3-12 0-2 1-2 3 0 0 0 1 7 -3 -
K. Appling * 19 2-3 1-2 1-1 3 0 1 0 1 6 6 -
D. Nix * 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Roe 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
M. Kebler 14 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 2 1 0 0 2 4 -
A. Thornton 13 0-2 0-2 4-4 2 2 0 0 0 4 6 -
G. Sherman 12 2-2 0-0 0-1 2 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
A. Payne 12 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Taylor * 35 9-13 3-4 9-10 1 6 0 0 1 30 23 -
J. Gasser * 33 2-2 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 5 5 -
J. Leuer * 30 7-14 2-4 4-4 6 1 1 0 4 20 10 -
K. Nankivil * 29 3-3 3-3 2-2 1 0 1 0 2 11 8 -
T. Jarmusz * 25 1-1 1-1 6-6 2 1 0 0 0 9 11 -
M. Bruesewitz 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 0 5 -
R. Wilson 11 0-2 0-2 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
R. Evans 10 0-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
J. Berggren 6 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
B. Valentyn 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
W. Smith 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 -
D. Dukan 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Brust 1 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

* = starter