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2011-02-06

Model Predictions

Model Florida State Seminoles North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 14.5% 85.5% -
Bradley-Terry 40.1% 59.9% -
Margin 15.6% 84.4% +9.3 (10.7 off)
Pythagorean 46.4% 53.6% -
Efficiency 24.0% 76.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 21.6% 78.4% -
Log Adjusted 21.5% 78.5% -

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +20 (89-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Florida State Seminoles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Kitchen * 38 4-8 0-3 4-4 4 6 2 1 3 12 14 -
C. Singleton * 28 6-10 2-4 1-4 4 1 2 0 3 15 9 -
M. Snaer * 23 3-7 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 6 -1 -
O. White * 23 4-11 0-3 2-2 3 0 0 2 1 10 3 -
B. James * 19 5-7 0-0 0-2 4 0 1 2 3 10 7 -
D. Dulkys 21 3-9 2-8 0-0 1 2 0 1 1 8 2 -
J. Kreft 15 1-1 0-0 1-4 3 0 0 0 1 3 4 -
I. Miller 12 1-4 0-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 2 1 -
X. Gibson 10 1-3 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 1 1 3 3 -
L. Loucks 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 4 0 0 0 0 7 -
A.J. Yawn 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Marshall * 36 3-4 2-2 1-2 0 16 3 0 3 9 21 -
D. Strickland * 35 6-10 2-4 1-2 6 4 1 0 3 15 13 -
H. Barnes * 29 7-15 2-6 1-2 10 1 0 1 0 17 14 -
T. Zeller * 27 6-8 0-0 4-7 4 1 0 0 0 16 13 -
J. Henson * 25 7-10 0-0 2-4 10 0 0 1 2 16 15 -
J. Knox 16 3-4 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 8 5 -
R. Bullock Jr. 13 1-5 1-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 -1 -
J. Watts 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 3 -
L. McDonald 7 1-5 1-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 3 -3 -
D. Bolick 1 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
P. Crouch 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Dupont 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Cooper 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D.J. Johnston 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter