Model Predictions
| Model | Boise State Broncos | Utah State Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.6% | 89.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.6% | 69.4% | +4.5 | ✓ (23.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.4% | 98.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.4% | 98.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Utah State Aggies +28 (77-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Montreal * | 30 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| L. Anderson * | 24 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -4 | - |
| R. Watkins * | 23 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| W. Perryman * | 19 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | - |
| T. Bropleh * | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| R. Arnold | 32 | 4-12 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| P. Noonan | 24 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| J. Elorriaga | 14 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| T. Nichols | 12 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| S. Imadiyi | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Z. Moritz | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Salzwedel | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Utah State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Williams * | 29 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| T. Newbold * | 25 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| N. Bendall * | 24 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 14 | - |
| T. Wesley * | 23 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 19 | - |
| B. Pane * | 23 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| B. Green | 22 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| B. Jardine | 19 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 15 | - |
| J. Walker III | 12 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| M. Grim | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| E.J. Farris | 6 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | - |
| M. Formisano | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| B. Brown | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter