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2011-02-04

Model Predictions

Model Columbia Lions Brown Bears Spread Result
Elo 56.0% 44.0% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 42.3% 57.7% - โœ“
Margin 36.0% 64.0% +3.2 โœ“ (4.8 off)
Pythagorean 38.3% 61.7% - โœ“
Efficiency 6.9% 93.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 31.9% 68.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 32.0% 68.0% - โœ“

Actual: Brown Bears +8 (87-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Columbia Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brian Barbour * 36 2-9 1-4 4-4 2 3 1 0 1 9 5 -
Noruwa Agho * 36 3-12 0-4 0-0 5 6 0 0 1 6 4 -
Steve Frankoski * 23 2-7 1-6 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 5 3 -
John Daniels * 18 4-6 0-0 1-1 2 0 0 0 0 9 5 -
Mark Cisco * 17 5-7 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 2 2 11 9 -
Asenso Ampim 26 8-15 1-3 2-2 3 4 2 0 0 19 13 -
Meiko Lyles 23 4-8 2-5 4-4 3 1 1 0 0 14 11 -
Max Craig 11 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 4 6 -
Van Green 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
Matt Johnson 4 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 -

Brown Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sean McGonagill * 40 15-19 3-4 6-8 4 6 1 1 4 39 28 -
Garrett Leffelman * 28 1-6 1-2 0-0 4 2 2 0 0 3 5 -
Dockery Walker * 28 6-6 0-0 1-3 12 2 0 1 0 13 22 -
Matt Sullivan * 25 1-5 0-1 1-2 4 3 0 0 1 3 4 -
Tucker Halpern * 23 3-7 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 7 -2 -
Adrian Williams 32 7-11 3-7 3-3 6 3 2 0 3 20 17 -
Tyler Ponticelli 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 -
Christopher Taylor 7 0-0 0-0 0-1 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
Andrew McCarthy 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
Josh Biber 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

* = starter