Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Pioneers | Little Rock Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.2% | 60.8% | +2.4 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Little Rock Trojans +3 (75-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Pioneers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Travis Hallam * | 41 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 26 | - |
| Chase Hallam * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 28 | - |
| Tyler Thalken * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Brian Stafford * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Justin Coughlin * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Chris Udofia | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Trevor Noonan | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Kyle Lewis | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Mouzy * | 42 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 26 | - |
| Alex Garcia-Mendoza * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 17 | - |
| D'Andre Williams * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 15 | - |
| C. Guy * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Courtney Jackson * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Solomon Bozeman | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 20 | - |
| Eric Kibi | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Derrick Bails | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Marlon Louzeiro | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Montrell Thornton | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Tramar Sutherland | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Gus Leeper | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter