Model Predictions
| Model | Monmouth Hawks | Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.1% | 68.9% | +4.4 | ✓ (2.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers +2 (56-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Monmouth Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Hett * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 14 | - |
| R.J. Rutledge * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 18 | - |
| M. Myers Keitt * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 21 | - |
| Marcus Ware * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 18 | - |
| Nick DelTufo * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Ed Waite | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Jesse Steele | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Phil Wait | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamar Trice * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 19 | - |
| Julian Norfleet * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 13 | - |
| David Golladay * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Shawn Atupem * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Raven Barber * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Josh Castellanos | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Danny Thompson | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13 | - |
| Jacolby Wells | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Jean Cajou | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Tayvon Jackson | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter