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2011-02-03

Model Predictions

Model Arizona State Sun Devils California Golden Bears Spread Result
Elo 21.2% 78.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 27.1% 72.9% - โœ“
Margin 19.7% 80.3% +7.7 โœ“ (3.7 off)
Pythagorean 37.9% 62.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 21.2% 78.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 21.2% 78.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 33.7% 66.3% - โœ“

Actual: California Golden Bears +4 (66-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arizona State Sun Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trent Lockett * 37 6-14 1-1 5-8 6 4 1 0 1 18 14 -
Ty Abbott * 36 3-9 2-7 1-2 2 2 0 2 3 9 3 -
Jamelle McMillan * 31 5-9 4-7 0-0 2 3 1 0 0 14 11 -
Rihards Kuksiks * 30 2-10 2-9 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 6 2 -
Kyle Cain * 18 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 2 3 -
Jordan Bachynski 14 1-1 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 4 5 -
Ruslan Pateev 9 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 4 3 -
Chanse Creekmur 9 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 4 -
Keala King 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -1 -
Carrick Felix 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
Corey Hawkins 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

California Golden Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jorge Gutierrez * 39 4-13 1-7 9-10 7 6 2 0 1 18 19 -
Harper Kamp * 37 2-4 0-0 6-6 7 1 1 1 2 10 14 -
Brandon Smith * 36 5-9 1-3 0-0 4 3 1 0 0 11 10 -
Markhuri Sanders-Frison * 36 5-8 0-0 3-4 7 1 1 0 2 13 12 -
Allen Crabbe * 35 2-10 2-6 4-5 6 2 0 1 1 10 8 -
Richard Solomon 9 1-2 0-0 2-4 2 0 0 0 1 4 3 -
Bak Bak 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Jeff Powers 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Emerson Murray 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter