Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Northern Iowa Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.1% | 75.9% | +6.3 | ✓ (4.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 20.8% | 79.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 92.4% | 7.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.2% | 91.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.2% | 91.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Iowa Panthers +2 (53-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Cousin * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 19 | - |
| John Wilkins * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Austin Hill * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Jon Ekey * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Blake Mishler * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Trey Blue | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Jackie Carmichael | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15 | - |
| Alex Rubin | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Justin Clark | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Tony Lewis | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Zeke Upshaw | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Northern Iowa Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kwadzo Ahelegbe * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Anthony James * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 30 | - |
| Johnny Moran * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Lucas O'Rear * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Jake Koch * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Marc Sonnen | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Kerwin Dunham | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Chip Rank | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter