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2011-02-02

Model Predictions

Model Michigan State Spartans Iowa Hawkeyes Spread Result
Elo 80.4% 19.6% -
Bradley-Terry 49.8% 50.2% -
Margin 53.2% 46.8% -0.7 (20.7 off)
Pythagorean 45.5% 54.5% -
Efficiency 88.8% 11.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 57.1% 42.9% -
Log Adjusted 56.5% 43.5% -

Actual: Iowa Hawkeyes +20 (72-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Appling * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 4 1 0 2 0 4 -
D. Green * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 2 0 5 11 15 -
K. Lucas * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 17 19 -
D. Summers * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 3 6 7 -
D. Roe * 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 1 0 4 -
A. Thornton 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 0 5 -
A. Payne 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 4 5 -
M. Kebler 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 0 3 -
D. Nix 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 12 16 -
G. Sherman 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 2 2 3 -

Iowa Hawkeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Cartwright * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 10 0 0 4 12 21 -
M. Gatens * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 4 0 2 19 26 -
J. Cole * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 1 2 1 0 13 26 -
E. May * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 3 11 11 -
M. Basabe * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 2 0 4 9 -
D. Archie 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 1 0 6 -
A. Brommer 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 6 7 -
Z. McCabe 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 5 8 -
D. Marble 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 4 0 0 0 2 6 -

* = starter