Model Predictions
| Model | UNC Wilmington Seahawks | Georgia State Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.3% | 62.7% | +2.8 | ✓ (2.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Georgia State Panthers +5 (63-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UNC Wilmington Seahawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chad Tomko * | 45 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 26 | - |
| Keith Rendleman * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 22 | - |
| Donte Morales * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Matt Wilson * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Darryl Felder * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Trevor Deloach | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 33 | - |
| Matthew Wallace | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | - |
Georgia State Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jihad Ali * | 43 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 19 | - |
| Javonte Maynor * | 41 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 18 | - |
| James Fields * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Eric Buckner * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 26 | - |
| Josh Micheaux * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 23 | - |
| Marques Johnson | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| James Vincent | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Dante Curry | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Devonta White | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Brandon McGee | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Harold Doby | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter