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Longwood Lancers 86
@
Colgate Raiders 97
2011-02-02

Model Predictions

Model Longwood Lancers Colgate Raiders Spread Result
Elo 40.9% 59.1% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 48.1% 51.9% - ✓
Margin 30.8% 69.2% +4.5 ✓ (6.5 off)
Pythagorean 42.9% 57.1% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 51.4% 48.6% - ✗
Log Adjusted 52.2% 47.8% - ✗
Points Off/Def 39.8% 60.2% - ✓

Actual: Colgate Raiders +11 (97-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Longwood Lancers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Washington 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 5 0 1 13 19 -
D. Neil 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 11 13 -
J. Bowman 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 6 3 0 1 13 23 -
A. Mitchell 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 1 0 5 16 20 -
A. Carter 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 11 2 2 0 1 25 39 -
D. Robinson 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 0 1 -
E. Gee II 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 2 0 1 4 6 -
J. Dublin 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 3 -
J. Havenstein 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Parker 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

Colgate Raiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mike Venezia 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 1 1 21 25 -
Joe Hoban 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 13 2 0 6 22 35 -
Pat Moore 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 2 23 27 -
Yaw Gyawu 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 2 12 15 -
Sterling Melville 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 1 2 9 16 -
Nick Pascale 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 1 2 7 13 -
Brandon James 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 1 0 -
John Brandenburg 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 2 1 2 6 -
Chad Johnson 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter