Model Predictions
| Model | Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners | Southern Utah Thunderbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.4% | 76.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.4% | 79.6% | +7.5 | ✓ (3.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.4% | 69.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Southern Utah Thunderbirds +4 (63-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donavan Bragg | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Rashad Savage | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 22 | - |
| Stephon Carter | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Reynaul Baker | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Alex Johnson | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Donald Johnson | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 11 | - |
| De'Aundray Robinson | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Cory Brown | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Robert Hayes | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| James Albright | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
Southern Utah Thunderbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Brimley | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 22 | - |
| Matt Massey | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Jackson Stevenett | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 18 | - |
| Ray Jones | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Kyle Davis | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Ramell Taylor | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 18 | - |
| Damon Heuir | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Jake Nielson | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Matt Hodgson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Tyson Koehler | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter