Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | Colorado State Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.1% | 20.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 56.6% | 43.4% | -1.5 | ✓ (0.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 93.4% | 6.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 88.4% | 11.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 88.5% | 11.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Colorado State Rams -2 (54-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Gay * | 37 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| K. Leonard * | 36 | 5-14 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 13 | - |
| M. Thomas * | 30 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 2 | - |
| B. White * | 26 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| C. Tapley * | 23 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| J. Rahon | 22 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 9 | - |
| B. Carlwell | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Cheriet | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Shelton | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Franklin | 3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. McFarland | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Ogide * | 37 | 6-18 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 11 | - |
| D. Green * | 34 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| A. Nigon * | 28 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | - |
| T. Franklin * | 27 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | - |
| G. Smith * | 18 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| P. Hornung | 25 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| W. Eikmeier | 10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -5 | - |
| D. Smith | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| W. Bell | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| J. Carr | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter