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2011-02-02

Model Predictions

Model San Diego State Aztecs Colorado State Rams Spread Result
Elo 79.1% 20.9% -
Bradley-Terry 45.8% 54.2% -
Margin 56.6% 43.4% -1.5 (0.5 off)
Pythagorean 59.7% 40.3% -
Efficiency 93.4% 6.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 88.4% 11.6% -
Log Adjusted 88.5% 11.5% -

Actual: Colorado State Rams -2 (54-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Diego State Aztecs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D.J. Gay * 37 3-9 0-3 0-0 3 4 2 0 0 6 6 -
K. Leonard * 36 5-14 0-2 2-2 15 4 0 0 4 12 13 -
M. Thomas * 30 3-8 0-1 0-0 6 0 2 1 5 6 2 -
B. White * 26 4-8 0-0 1-2 3 2 0 2 2 9 6 -
C. Tapley * 23 1-5 1-3 2-2 0 1 0 0 0 5 1 -
J. Rahon 22 5-7 3-4 2-3 1 0 1 0 1 15 9 -
B. Carlwell 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
M. Cheriet 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Shelton 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 0 2 -
J. Franklin 3 1-2 0-1 1-1 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -

Colorado State Rams

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. McFarland 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Ogide * 37 6-18 0-1 6-8 12 0 1 0 2 18 11 -
D. Green * 34 3-9 1-4 0-0 5 4 0 0 0 7 7 -
A. Nigon * 28 1-3 1-3 0-0 3 3 2 1 2 3 7 -
T. Franklin * 27 5-8 0-0 2-4 6 4 0 0 4 12 10 -
G. Smith * 18 2-6 0-0 3-4 2 2 0 0 0 7 5 -
P. Hornung 25 1-2 0-0 0-1 4 0 2 1 1 2 6 -
W. Eikmeier 10 0-4 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -5 -
D. Smith 9 0-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -
W. Bell 6 1-1 0-0 2-3 1 0 0 0 1 4 3 -
J. Carr 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 0 3 -

* = starter