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2011-03-25

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 28.7% 71.3% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 18.8% 81.2% - โœ—
Margin 9.9% 90.1% +12.2 โœ— (14.2 off)
Pythagorean 34.1% 65.9% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 16.3% 83.7% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 16.2% 83.8% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 25.4% 74.6% - โœ—

Actual: Boston Celtics -2 (81-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kwame Brown * 39 3-6 0-0 6-7 7 1 1 0 3 12 12 -
D.J. Augustin * 38 5-13 1-4 3-3 2 4 0 0 3 14 4 -
Boris Diaw * 26 4-14 0-5 0-1 6 2 0 1 3 8 0 -
DJ White * 24 7-10 0-0 3-3 6 1 1 0 0 17 15 -
Dante Cunningham * 24 2-3 0-0 0-0 5 0 2 2 1 4 9 -
Dominic McGuire * 22 1-9 0-1 2-2 7 3 1 0 0 4 6 -
Gerald Henderson * 22 5-8 0-1 5-6 2 1 0 0 2 15 8 -
Shaun Livingston * 19 3-5 0-0 3-3 2 3 1 1 1 9 10 -
Matt Carroll * 16 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 2 0 1 0 0 -
Eduardo Najera 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Rajon Rondo * 39 5-8 0-0 0-0 4 5 0 0 5 10 6 -
Ray Allen * 38 2-9 2-7 8-8 5 1 1 0 2 14 10 -
Kevin Garnett * 31 6-9 0-1 0-0 9 1 0 2 3 12 12 -
Paul Pierce * 30 6-14 1-5 5-8 3 4 1 1 0 18 13 -
Nenad Krstic * 26 2-7 0-0 3-6 8 0 0 1 1 7 8 -
Jeff Green * 25 3-7 0-0 1-1 5 2 0 1 0 7 8 -
Glen Davis * 24 3-10 0-0 3-3 3 1 0 0 2 9 1 -
Delonte West * 18 1-6 0-2 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 2 -3 -
Carlos Arroyo * 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -

* = starter