Model Predictions
| Model | New Mexico Lobos | Air Force Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 96.7% | 3.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 77.6% | 22.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 81.3% | 18.7% | -8.1 | ✓ (5.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.4% | 37.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 95.9% | 4.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.2% | 20.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.2% | 20.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Air Force Falcons -14 (61-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dairese Gary * | 37 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Kendall Williams * | 36 | 6-12 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Tony Snell * | 35 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Phillip McDonald * | 26 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Drew Gordon * | 19 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 15 | - |
| A.J. Hardeman | 18 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Jamal Fenton | 16 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Chad Adams | 12 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Alex Kirk | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Lyons * | 34 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Evan Washington * | 25 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Tom Fow * | 22 | 5-6 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Taylor Broekhuis * | 22 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Todd Fletcher * | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Derek Brooks | 23 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Taylor Stewart | 23 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Mike Fitzgerald | 17 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Zach Bohannon | 11 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Shawn Hempsey | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter