Model Predictions
| Model | Penn State Nittany Lions | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.9% | 81.1% | +8.0 | ✓ (9.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.9% | 75.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +17 (68-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Penn State Nittany Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Frazier * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 21 | - |
| T. Battle * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 18 | - |
| D. Jackson * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| A. Jones * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 15 | - |
| J. Brooks * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| B. Oliver | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| C. Woodyard | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| J. Marshall | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Kirkpatrick | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Bowman | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Davis * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 31 | - |
| D.J. Richardson * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 17 | - |
| J. Richmond * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 20 | - |
| D. McCamey * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 13 | - |
| M. Tisdale * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 15 | - |
| B. Cole | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 17 | - |
| B. Paul | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 12 | - |
| M. Leonard | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Bertrand | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Griffey | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Head | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter