Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Boston College Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.6% | 19.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 76.1% | 23.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 86.5% | 13.5% | -10.2 | ✓ (21.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 88.6% | 11.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 89.8% | 10.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 89.9% | 10.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boston College Eagles -32 (74-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Henson * | 26 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Harrison Barnes * | 26 | 9-15 | 4-7 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 17 | - |
| Tyler Zeller * | 25 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 22 | - |
| Dexter Strickland * | 23 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Kendall Marshall * | 20 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Larry Drew | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - |
| Justin Knox | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Reggie Bullock | 17 | 6-9 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Leslie McDonald | 15 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Patrick Crouch | 2 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Stewart Cooper | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Daniel Bolick | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| D.J. Johnston | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| David Dupont | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Van Hatchell | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Boston College Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Trapani * | 34 | 9-20 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 25 | 21 | - |
| Reggie Jackson * | 31 | 2-10 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Corey Raji * | 28 | 6-11 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Biko Paris * | 28 | 4-10 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Dallas Elmore * | 24 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Josh Southern | 18 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Danny Rubin | 14 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Gabriel Moton | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Chris Kowalski | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Nick Mosakowski | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Peter Rehnquist | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Cortney Dunn | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter