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2011-02-01

Model Predictions

Model North Carolina Tar Heels Boston College Eagles Spread Result
Elo 80.6% 19.4% -
Bradley-Terry 76.1% 23.9% -
Margin 86.5% 13.5% -10.2 (21.8 off)
Pythagorean 60.3% 39.7% -
Efficiency 88.6% 11.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 89.8% 10.2% -
Log Adjusted 89.9% 10.1% -

Actual: Boston College Eagles -32 (74-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Henson * 26 6-10 0-0 1-1 7 1 0 2 2 13 11 -
H. Barnes * 26 9-15 4-7 4-4 6 1 0 0 1 26 17 -
T. Zeller * 25 6-7 0-0 6-6 6 1 3 1 0 18 22 -
D. Strickland * 23 2-7 0-1 0-0 3 4 1 0 1 4 4 -
K. Marshall * 20 2-3 1-1 2-3 3 6 0 0 2 7 11 -
L. Drew II 19 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 9 0 0 1 0 9 -
J. Knox 17 2-3 0-0 4-6 3 1 1 0 0 8 10 -
R. Bullock Jr. 17 6-9 4-7 0-0 4 1 1 1 1 16 13 -
L. McDonald 15 4-9 1-4 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 9 1 -
P. Crouch 2 2-3 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 5 3 -
S. Cooper 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Bolick 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
D.J. Johnston 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
D. Dupont 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
V. Hatchell 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Boston College Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Trapani * 34 9-20 4-6 3-4 15 3 0 2 4 25 21 -
R. Jackson * 31 2-10 0-3 2-2 2 3 1 1 3 6 0 -
C. Raji * 28 6-11 3-5 1-3 6 0 2 0 3 16 10 -
B. Paris * 28 4-10 3-8 0-0 1 4 0 1 2 11 5 -
D. Elmore * 24 1-6 1-4 2-4 0 2 1 0 1 5 1 -
J. Southern 18 0-4 0-0 3-4 4 3 0 0 2 3 4 -
D. Rubin 14 2-4 2-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 6 5 -
G. Moton 13 0-2 0-2 2-4 2 2 0 0 1 2 3 -
C. Kowalski 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
N. Mosakowski 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
P. Rehnquist 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Dunn 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter