Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Colorado Bears | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.7% | 29.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 61.5% | 38.5% | -2.6 | ✗ (13.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 20.7% | 79.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks +11 (65-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Colorado Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devon Beitzel * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 23 | - |
| Chris Kaba * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Elliott Lloyd * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Neal Kingman * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Taylor Montgomery * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 17 | - |
| Emmanuel Addo | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 17 | - |
| Mike Proctor | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Paul Garnica | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Tate Unruh | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabe Rogers * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 19 | - |
| Cameron Jones * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 19 | - |
| Shane Johannsen * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 21 | - |
| Stallon Saldivar * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 14 | - |
| Durrell Norman * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Eric Platt | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Julian Olubuyi | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| DeAngelo Jones | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Austin Smith | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Josh Lepley | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter