Model Predictions
| Model | Mercer Bears | East Tennessee State Buccaneers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.7% | 85.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.1% | 80.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.5% | 85.5% | +9.8 | ✓ (2.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.3% | 67.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 16.9% | 83.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 16.8% | 83.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.6% | 70.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: East Tennessee State Buccaneers +7 (82-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mercer Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bud Thomas | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Mark Hall | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Langston Hall | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Justin Cecil | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 31 | - |
| Brian Mills | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 17 | - |
| Chris Smith | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Kevin Canevari | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Jake Gollon | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Monty Brown | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Brandon Moore | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Daniel Coursey | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| David O'Shaughnessey | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Paul Larsen | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
East Tennessee State Buccaneers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Smith | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 37 | - |
| Micah Williams | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 28 | - |
| Adam Sollazzo | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 17 | - |
| Justin Tubbs | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 22 | - |
| Sheldon Cooley | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Isiah Brown | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| J.C. Ward | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Curtis Wilkinson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Lukas Poderis | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter