Model Predictions
| Model | Drake Bulldogs | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.4% | 61.6% | +2.6 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +2 (77-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Drake Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Wedel * | 43 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 16 | - |
| Ben Simons * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 22 | - |
| Rayvonte Rice * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 26 | - |
| Jordan Clarke * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Seth VanDeest * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Kraidon Woods | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 19 | - |
| Kurt Alexander | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Reece Uhlenhopp | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| David Smith | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Cory Parker | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Wilkins * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 22 | - |
| Austin Hill * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Anthony Cousin * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Jon Ekey * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | - |
| Blake Mishler * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Jackie Carmichael | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 21 | - |
| Trey Blue | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Alex Rubin | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Justin Clark | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Tony Lewis | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
* = starter