Model Predictions
| Model | Drake Bulldogs | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 45.0% | 55.0% | +1.1 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 94.3% | 5.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +2 (77-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Drake Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Wedel * | 43 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 16 | - |
| B. Simons * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 22 | - |
| R. Rice * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 26 | - |
| J. Clarke * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| S. VanDeest * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| K. Woods | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 19 | - |
| K. Alexander | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | - |
| R. Uhlenhopp | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| D. Smith | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Parker | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Wilkins * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 22 | - |
| A. Hill * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 13 | - |
| A. Cousin * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| J. Ekey * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | - |
| B. Mishler * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| J. Carmichael | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 21 | - |
| T. Blue | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 15 | - |
| A. Rubin | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| J. Clark | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| T. Lewis | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
* = starter