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2011-01-30

Model Predictions

Model Iowa Hawkeyes Michigan Wolverines Spread Result
Elo 16.1% 83.9% -
Bradley-Terry 40.6% 59.4% -
Margin 30.0% 70.0% +4.7 (9.3 off)
Pythagorean 52.4% 47.6% -
Efficiency 6.7% 93.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 35.3% 64.7% -
Log Adjusted 34.6% 65.4% -

Actual: Michigan Wolverines +14 (87-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Iowa Hawkeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Basabe * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 0 1 2 0 25 36 -
M. Gatens * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 11 10 -
B. Cartwright * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 9 0 0 0 11 21 -
E. May * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 1 3 7 -
J. Cole * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 0 3 8 -
D. Marble 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 1 0 2 12 16 -
Z. McCabe 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 3 4 6 -
D. Archie 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 4 8 -
A. Brommer 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 0 -3 -

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Morris * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 11 2 0 3 12 32 -
Z. Novak * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 1 13 16 -
T. Hardaway Jr. * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 1 1 19 23 -
J. Morgan * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 2 17 21 -
E. Smotrycz * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 14 17 -
S. Douglass 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 3 0 0 2 2 8 -
J. Horford 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 1 0 4 10 -
M. Vogrich 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 6 6 -
C. Christian 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter