Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Hoosiers | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.8% | 86.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.9% | 67.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.2% | 77.8% | +6.9 | ✓ (5.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 17.6% | 82.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.8% | 87.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.5% | 86.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +1 (84-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Hoosiers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Hulls * | 39 | 6-16 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Christian Watford * | 38 | 5-15 | 4-8 | 7-10 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 7 | - |
| Tom Pritchard * | 32 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | - |
| Jeremiah Rivers * | 32 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Will Sheehey * | 17 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Matt Roth | 26 | 4-5 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Victor Oladipo | 19 | 5-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Derek Elston | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Bobby Capobianco | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Daniel Moore | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalin Lucas * | 43 | 8-18 | 3-7 | 7-8 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 13 | - |
| Keith Appling * | 37 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Durrell Summers * | 34 | 6-16 | 2-7 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 4 | - |
| Draymond Green * | 33 | 7-15 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 23 | - |
| Delvon Roe * | 28 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 18 | - |
| Derrick Nix | 23 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Mike Kebler | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Austin Thornton | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Garrick Sherman | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Adreian Payne | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter