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2011-01-29

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Golden Gophers Purdue Boilermakers Spread Result
Elo 12.6% 87.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 20.6% 79.4% - โœ“
Margin 11.6% 88.4% +11.2 โœ“ (0.8 off)
Pythagorean 37.1% 62.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 10.0% 90.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 9.9% 90.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 26.9% 73.1% - โœ“

Actual: Purdue Boilermakers +12 (73-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Golden Gophers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Blake Hoffarber * 40 4-10 2-4 4-5 4 2 1 0 2 14 9 -
Trevor Mbakwe * 37 8-14 0-0 1-3 12 2 3 1 4 17 17 -
Ralph Sampson * 35 5-11 1-1 0-0 5 3 1 2 3 11 8 -
Rodney Williams * 19 0-1 0-1 2-2 0 2 0 0 1 2 2 -
Colton Iverson * 15 2-3 0-0 4-6 3 1 1 1 0 8 11 -
Austin Hollins 29 1-6 0-2 0-0 4 2 1 0 0 2 3 -
Chip Armelin 17 3-6 0-1 1-3 2 3 0 0 1 7 5 -
Maverick Ahanmisi 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Dominique Dawson 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
JaJuan Johnson * 40 8-13 0-1 8-9 7 0 0 1 3 24 16 -
E'Twaun Moore * 37 3-13 2-6 1-3 7 3 0 2 1 9 7 -
Lewis Jackson * 27 4-7 3-4 2-3 5 5 1 0 2 13 15 -
D.J. Byrd * 17 2-4 2-4 0-1 3 0 0 0 2 6 3 -
Travis Carroll * 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Ryne Smith 27 3-7 3-7 6-6 4 3 2 0 0 15 17 -
Patrick Bade 20 1-3 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 1 1 2 6 -
Terone Johnson 11 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 2 2 -
Kelsey Barlow 10 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter