Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento State Hornets | Portland State Vikings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.7% | 87.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.3% | 81.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.7% | 85.3% | +9.7 | ✓ (3.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 24.1% | 75.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.8% | 86.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.5% | 86.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland State Vikings +6 (86-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sultan Toles-Bey * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 32 | - |
| Walter Jackson * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 31 | - |
| Heath Hoffman * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 11 | - |
| John Dickson * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Alpha N'Diaye * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 16 | - |
| Duro Bjegovic | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Jackson Carbajal | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Josh McCarver | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
Portland State Vikings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Odum * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 25 | - |
| Melvin Jones * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 19 | - |
| Phillip Thomas * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 32 | - |
| Chris Harriel * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Paul Guede * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - |
| Phil Nelson | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 19 | - |
| Dane Johnson | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
* = starter