Model Predictions
| Model | Austin Peay Governors | Morehead State Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.3% | 78.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.5% | 67.5% | +4.0 | ✓ (9.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Morehead State Eagles +13 (69-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Austin Peay Governors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Terry * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Fraley * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 19 | - |
| T. Edmondson * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 15 | - |
| C. Brown * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| M. Baker * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| W. Triggs | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 14 | - |
| J. Blake | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| T. Caldwell | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| M. Williams | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Morehead State Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Demonte Harper * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Kenneth Faried * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 37 | - |
| Ty Proffitt * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Drew Kelly * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Terrance Hill * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Sam Goodman | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | - |
| Lamont Austin | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
* = starter