Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Little Rock Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.3% | 60.7% | +2.4 | ✗ (13.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Little Rock Trojans -11 (64-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Allison * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 28 | - |
| D. Boone * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 27 | - |
| T. Finn * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| B. Peterson * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| M. Adams * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 12 | - |
| J. Thomas | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| M. Kirkland | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 6 | - |
| E. Townsel | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| A. Sterrenberg | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Solomon Bozeman * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 22 | - |
| D'Andre Williams * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Alex Garcia-Mendoza * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Courtney Jackson * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Montrell Thornton * | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
| C. Guy | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Matt Mouzy | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Derrick Bails | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Marlon Louzeiro | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Tramar Sutherland | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Gus Leeper | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter