Model Predictions
| Model | Florida Gators | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.5% | 31.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 73.9% | 26.1% | -5.7 | ✗ (12.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 72.1% | 27.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 79.7% | 20.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 92.4% | 7.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 92.4% | 7.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs +7 (71-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Florida Gators
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erving Walker * | 37 | 6-17 | 2-8 | 4-5 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 8 | - |
| Chandler Parsons * | 34 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Kenny Boynton * | 30 | 2-11 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -8 | - |
| Vernon Macklin * | 24 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Alex Tyus * | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Patric Young | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Will Yeguete | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Scottie Wilbekin | 12 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Erik Murphy | 10 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Casey Prather | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ravern Johnson * | 40 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Kodi Augustus * | 37 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 5-6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Dee Bost * | 37 | 8-14 | 4-8 | 4-5 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 17 | - |
| Riley Benock * | 30 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Renardo Sidney * | 25 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Jalen Steele | 16 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Wendell Lewis | 8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Reik | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Brian Bryant | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter