Model Predictions
| Model | UC Irvine Anteaters | UC Davis Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 63.7% | 36.3% | -3.1 | ✗ (4.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 79.5% | 20.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.5% | 32.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.6% | 32.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UC Davis Aggies +1 (108-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Irvine Anteaters
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Rembert * | 42 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 26 | - |
| Mike Wilder * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 18 | - |
| Eric Wise * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 34 | 46 | - |
| Daman Starring * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Darren Moore * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Chris McNealy | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 22 | - |
| Derrick Strings | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Pavol Losonsky | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Derick Flowers | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Emil Kim | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Peter Simek | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Payne * | 44 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 32 | 39 | - |
| Eddie Miller * | 42 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 36 | - |
| Todd Lowenthal * | 41 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 17 | - |
| Ryan Sypkens * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 22 | - |
| Joe Harden * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 34 | - |
| Ryan Howley | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Josh Ritchart | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Alex Tiffin | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Mike Kurtz | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ryan Silva | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Tyler Les | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter