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2011-01-29

Model Predictions

Model UC Irvine Anteaters UC Davis Aggies Spread Result
Elo 57.2% 42.8% -
Bradley-Terry 43.1% 56.9% -
Margin 63.7% 36.3% -3.1 (4.1 off)
Pythagorean 48.6% 51.4% -
Efficiency 79.5% 20.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 67.5% 32.5% -
Log Adjusted 67.6% 32.4% -

Actual: UC Davis Aggies +1 (108-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UC Irvine Anteaters

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Rembert * 42 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 4 1 0 2 19 26 -
M. Wilder * 40 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 0 1 0 1 9 18 -
E. Wise * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 12 3 2 0 5 34 46 -
D. Starring * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 9 11 -
D. Moore * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 3 12 15 -
C. McNealy 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 3 1 1 13 22 -
D. Strings 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 4 5 -
P. Losonsky 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 5 11 -
D. Flowers 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 2 4 -
E. Kim 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 -
P. Simek 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UC Davis Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Payne * 44 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 2 0 2 32 39 -
E. Miller * 42 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 5 0 0 2 25 36 -
T. Lowenthal * 41 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 7 1 0 3 6 17 -
R. Sypkens * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 4 1 0 2 16 22 -
J. Harden * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 5 0 0 2 23 34 -
R. Howley 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 2 0 2 6 14 -
J. Ritchart 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
A. Tiffin 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
M. Kurtz 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
R. Silva 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Les 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter