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2011-01-29

Model Predictions

Model Pittsburgh Panthers Rutgers Scarlet Knights Spread Result
Elo 84.7% 15.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 78.3% 21.7% - โœ“
Margin 84.1% 15.9% -9.2 โœ“ (6.2 off)
Pythagorean 59.7% 40.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 91.2% 8.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 91.3% 8.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 69.0% 31.0% - โœ“

Actual: Rutgers Scarlet Knights -3 (62-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Pittsburgh Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ashton Gibbs * 34 7-14 4-9 6-6 4 0 2 0 2 24 14 -
Brad Wanamaker * 32 1-7 0-1 7-8 4 3 0 1 1 9 9 -
Gilbert Brown * 32 1-3 1-2 6-6 5 1 0 0 3 9 9 -
Nasir Robinson * 23 2-7 0-0 0-1 3 1 0 2 1 4 2 -
Gary McGhee * 22 4-5 0-0 5-10 8 1 0 2 0 13 19 -
Travon Woodall 20 0-6 0-4 2-2 2 1 0 0 1 2 -2 -
Lamar Patterson 18 1-2 0-0 0-0 6 1 2 0 2 2 7 -
Dante Taylor 17 0-1 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 1 1 2 4 -
Talib Zanna 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Rutgers Scarlet Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Beatty * 36 3-9 3-9 0-0 3 2 1 0 1 9 5 -
M. Coburn * 34 4-7 0-1 4-6 2 7 2 1 0 12 17 -
J. Mitchell * 32 4-11 0-3 4-5 7 0 1 0 2 12 7 -
D. Miller * 31 3-8 0-1 3-4 3 1 0 3 0 9 8 -
G. Biruta * 9 1-4 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -
A. Johnson 21 0-4 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -3 -
R. Lumpkins 17 4-8 2-4 2-2 2 0 0 3 0 12 9 -
M. Poole 16 3-6 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 3 6 2 -
A. Carroll 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter