Model Predictions
| Model | NC State Wolfpack | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.0% | 85.0% | +9.6 | ✓ (10.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 15.7% | 84.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.1% | 98.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.1% | 98.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +20 (84-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Gonzalez * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 20 | - |
| C.J. Williams * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| S. Wood * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| T. Smith * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 14 | - |
| R. Howell * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | - |
| L. Brown | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 32 | - |
| C.J. Leslie | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 20 | - |
| D. Painter | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Lewis | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Henson * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 40 | - |
| H. Barnes * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 32 | - |
| D. Strickland * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 22 | - |
| T. Zeller * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 21 | - |
| K. Marshall * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | - |
| L. Drew II | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| R. Bullock Jr. | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| J. Knox | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 13 | - |
| L. McDonald | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| D.J. Johnston | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| V. Hatchell | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| P. Crouch | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Bolick | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Dupont | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter