Model Predictions
| Model | Montana Grizzlies | Montana State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 50.9% | 49.1% | -0.2 | ✓ (20.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 9.3% | 90.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.4% | 24.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.8% | 25.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Montana State Bobcats -21 (58-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Montana Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derek Selvig | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 34 | - |
| Brian Qvale | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 37 | - |
| Shawn Stockton | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Will Cherry | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 19 | - |
| Art Steward | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Kareem Jamar | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Jordan Wood | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Mathias Ward | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Vaughn Autry | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Rush | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 17 | - |
| Bobby Howard | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 23 | - |
| Rod Singleton | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Danny Piepoli | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Shawn Reid | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Jeff Budinich | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Jordan Allou | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Cody Anderson | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Casey Trujeque | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Steven Davis | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Chris McCall | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Tre Johnson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter